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Saber calificar el grado de riesgo que representaría invertir en
nuestro propio país, para nosotros los mexicanos que no |
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somos especialistas en asuntos financieros, es algo que por lo
general nos resulta por demás difícil de definir, dada la |
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circunstancia de que solemos menospreciar lo propio y magnificar
lo ajeno. Las siguientes tablas generadas con |
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información oficial de organismos internacionales,
nos ayudan a valorar nuestra propia realidad. |
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INDICE DE RIESGO PAIS DE PAISES EMERGENTES |
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(EMBI -->
Emerging Markets Bond Index) |
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Fuente: JP Morgan |
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PAIS |
Fin. 2010 |
Fin. 2009 |
Fin. 2008 |
Fin 2007 |
Fin 2006 |
Fin 2005 |
Fin 2004 |
Fin 2003 |
Fin 2002 |
Fin 2001 |
Fin 2000 |
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VENEZUELA |
1104 |
1034 |
1862 |
506 |
185 |
318 |
411 |
613 |
1042 |
1163 |
856 |
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ARGENTINA |
490 |
663 |
1697 |
409 |
223 |
504 |
4703 |
5626 |
6303 |
4404 |
766 |
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ECUADOR |
896 |
775 |
4720 |
614 |
920 |
669 |
690 |
840 |
1796 |
1186 |
3744 |
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BRASIL |
186 |
196 |
417 |
222 |
196 |
311 |
382 |
468 |
1445 |
911 |
749 |
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PANAMA |
ND |
175 |
516 |
184 |
148 |
246 |
290 |
439 |
446 |
411 |
441 |
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URUGUAY |
ND |
ND |
ND |
ND |
175 |
275 |
373 |
624 |
1706 |
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COLOMBIA |
137 |
201 |
474 |
195 |
151 |
238 |
332 |
435 |
645 |
568 |
693 |
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PERU |
135 |
169 |
509 |
178 |
120 |
206 |
220 |
318 |
621 |
472 |
513 |
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RUSIA |
ND |
ND |
719 |
147 |
96 |
108 |
356 |
256 |
514 |
628 |
978 |
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MEXICO |
144 |
165 |
362 |
149 |
98 |
126 |
166 |
199 |
323 |
308 |
392 |
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CHILE |
124 |
97 |
336 |
151 |
83 |
80 |
66 |
84 |
125 |
152 |
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POLONIA |
ND |
ND |
ND |
50 |
47 |
60 |
65 |
170 |
290 |
212 |
269 |
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Entre más bajo el
Índice indica menor riesgo |
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Actualizado Abril 2011 |
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A partir del segundo semestre 2007, el riesgo país aumentó en
general pero por primera vez México obtuvo el más |
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bajo de Latinoamérica, debajo de Chile. En 2008 el alza iniciada
por la crisis hipotecaria de los Estados Unidos.se |
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recrudeció por la crisis financiera y el crack de la las Bolsas
de Valores del mundo entero. |
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Para consultar datos actualizadas por día del EMBI de México,
Brasil y Argentina vea BANAMEX: |
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http://www.banamex.com.mx/estudios_finanzas/finanzas/economia_internacional/riesgo_pais.htm |
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O bien consulte la página de CESLA: |
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http://www.cesla.com/index.php |
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CALIFICACION DE
GRADO DE INVERSION DE DEUDA |
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SOBERANA DE LARGO
PLAZO EN MONEDA EXTRANJERA. |
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Fuente: Standard & Poor's |
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PAIS |
2010 |
2009 |
2008 |
2007 |
2006 |
2005 |
2004 |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
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USA |
AAA |
AAA |
AAA |
AAA |
AAA |
AAA |
AAA |
AAA |
AAA |
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CANADA |
AA |
AA |
AA |
AA |
AA |
AA |
AA |
AA |
AA |
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CHILE |
A+ |
A+ |
A+ |
A+ |
A |
A |
A |
A- |
A |
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MEXICO |
BBB+ |
BBB |
BBB+ |
BBB |
BBB |
BBB |
BBB- |
BBB- |
BBB- |
BB |
BB |
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COLOMBIA |
BB+ |
BB+ |
BB+ |
BB |
BB |
BB |
BB |
BB |
BB |
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PERU |
BBB- |
BBB- |
BB+ |
BB |
BB+ |
BB |
BB |
BB- |
BB- |
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BRASIL |
BBB- |
BBB- |
BBB- |
BB |
BB |
BB- |
BB- |
B+ |
BB- |
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VENEZUELA |
BB- |
BB- |
BB- |
BB- |
BB- |
B |
B |
CCC+ |
B |
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ARGENTINA |
B- |
B- |
B+ |
B- |
B+ |
B- |
SD |
SD |
D |
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SOLAMENTE CHILE, MEXICO, BRASIL Y PERU OSTENTAN
GRADO DE INVERSIÓN
EN LATINOAMERICA |
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CHILE OBTUVO GRADO "A" EN ENERO DE 2004, MEXICO CAYÓ A GRADO "BBB"
EN 2009 |
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Calificación en orden de muy buena a muy mala |
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AAA, AA, A, BBB, BB, B, CCC, CC, C, D, SD |
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Actualizado Abril 2011 |
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Para consultar datos actualizados del Grado de Inversión vea
Latin Focus: |
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http://www.latin-focus.com/spanish/countries/latam/latsandp.htm |
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CALIFICACION DEL NIVEL DE INGRESO PER CAPITA |
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Fuente: Banco Mundial, datos: Julio de 2009 |
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Argentina |
ARG |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Bolivia |
BOL |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Lower middle income |
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Brazil |
BRA |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Canada |
CAN |
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High income: OECD |
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Chile |
CHL |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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China |
CHN |
East Asia & Pacific |
Lower middle income |
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Colombia |
COL |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Costa Rica |
CRI |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Cuba |
CUB |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Dominican R. |
DOM |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Ecuador |
ECU |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Lower middle income |
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El Salvador |
SLV |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Lower middle income |
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France |
FRA |
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High income: OECD |
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Germany |
DEU |
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High income: OECD |
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Guatemala |
GTM |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Lower middle income |
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India |
IND |
South Asia |
Lower middle income |
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Korea, Dem. R |
PRK |
East Asia & Pacific |
Low income |
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Korea, Rep. |
KOR |
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High income: OECD |
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Mexico |
MEX |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Nicaragua |
NIC |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Lower middle income |
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Panama |
PAN |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Paraguay |
PRY |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Lower middle income |
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Peru |
PER |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Puerto Rico |
PRI |
Latin America & Caribbean |
High income: nonOECD |
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Spain |
ESP |
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High income: nonOECD |
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United States |
USA |
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High income: nonOECD |
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Uruguay |
URY |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Venezuela |
VEN |
Latin America & Caribbean |
Upper middle income |
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Actualización de Abril de 2011 |
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Los grupos de clasificación son: low income (bajo ingreso),
$995 USD o menos; |
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lower middle income (medio bajo ingreso) ,$996–3,945 USD; upper
middle income |
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(medio alto ingreso), $3946–12,195 USD; y high income (alto
ingreso), $12,196 USD o más. |
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México con $9980 USD en 2008, estuvo cerca de incorporarse a
los paises de alto ingreso |
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per cápita, pero el reparto de la riqueza sigue siendo aún muy
desigual |
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Para consultar esta información a nivel mundial vea la tabla
que publica el Banco Mundial |
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en la siguiente dirección: |
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World Bank list of economies (January 2011) |
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